Pretty Clear Trendline in GE Matchups between Hillary and Rubio

When Nevada Democrats entered caucuses this weekend, 18% of them (in the 25 precincts surveyed out of 1700+ total) told pollsters that “ability to win” represented the top trait they seek in a candidate. Hillary Clinton won these voters 80%-15%. These were enough voters to put her over the top in the caucuses. Are these voters correct though?


In hypothetical matchups between Clinton and the Robot Rubio, Hillary led in most polls early in 2015 and has trailed since the fall. Bernie has done much better in recent matchups but the data is sparse. As a Democrat, this concerns me a bit as does Hillary’s overall favorability since she left the State Department.

hillary-fav-02-22Those supporting Hillary Clinton might want to look at different reasons than electability.